El Carpio: no list would have a majority, PP largest
El Carpio (Córdoba, 4,353 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 86%no list with a majority
- 2,684valid votes in 2023 (75% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 86% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About El Carpio
El Carpio is a municipality in the province of Córdoba with 4,353 inhabitants, the 33rd largest of its 77 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 38.3% of the vote and 5 seats; PSOE-A was second with 3. 75.3% of the 3,564 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 5 of 11.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 38.3% → 39.4% 5 → 5 councillors
- PSOE-APSOE 30.2% → 28.1% 3 → 3 councillors
- CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 28.8% → 25.4% 3 → 3 councillors
- VOXVox 2.2% → 6.6% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,684 valid votes including 14 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.