Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Hornachuelos: G.I.H. would keep its majority

Hornachuelos (Córdoba, 4,450 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

G.I.H.±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 54.9% of the vote (2023: 50.2%) Majority 96%
PSOE-A±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 19.0% of the vote (2023: 21.2%) Majority 0%
PP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 17.3% of the vote (2023: 17.4%) Majority 0%
CON ANDALUCÍA±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 7.9% of the vote (2023: 10.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 4% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. G.I.H.Local lists 50.2% → 54.9% 6 → 6 councillors
  2. PSOE-APSOE 21.2% → 19.0% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. PPPP 17.4% → 17.3% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 10.3% → 7.9% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,704 valid votes including 23 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Hornachuelos in size, in Córdoba

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