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Iznájar: PSOE-A would keep its majority

Iznájar (Córdoba, 4,002 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE-A±0
7 councillors (2023: 7) · 62.3% of the vote (2023: 63.5%) Majority 96%
PP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 36.0% of the vote (2023: 34.8%) Majority 4%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

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About Iznájar

Iznájar is a municipality in the province of Córdoba with 4,002 inhabitants, the 35th largest of its 77 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE-A came first with 63.5% of the vote and 7 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 4. 66.7% of the 3,079 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PSOE-A on 7 seats, a majority, which it holds in 96% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOE-APSOE 63.5% → 62.3% 7 → 7 councillors
  2. PPPP 34.8% → 36.0% 4 → 4 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,054 valid votes including 35 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Iznájar in size, in Córdoba

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