España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Montemayor: CONTIGO MONTEMAYOR would keep its majority

Montemayor (Córdoba, 3,869 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

CONTIGO MONTEMAYOR+1
9 councillors (2023: 8) · 67.2% of the vote (2023: 62.0%) Majority over 99%
PSOE-A±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 20.4% of the vote (2023: 22.7%) Majority 0%
PP−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 7.4% of the vote (2023: 8.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. CONTIGO MONTEMAYORLocal lists 62.0% → 67.2% 8 → 9 councillors
  2. PSOE-APSOE 22.7% → 20.4% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. PPPP 8.1% → 7.4% 1 → 0 councillors
  4. CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 6.0% → 3.8% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,401 valid votes including 28 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Montemayor in size, in Córdoba

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