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Fuente Obejuna: no list would have a majority, PSOE-A largest

Fuente Obejuna (Córdoba, 4,462 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE-A−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 45.4% of the vote (2023: 50.0%) Majority 33%
PP±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 39.8% of the vote (2023: 40.9%) Majority 9%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 13.2% of the vote (2023: 7.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 58% of 300 simulated elections.

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Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

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About Fuente Obejuna

Fuente Obejuna is a municipality in the province of Córdoba with 4,462 inhabitants, the 31st largest of its 77 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE-A came first with 50% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 5. 68.8% of the 3,887 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSOE-A would be largest on 5 of 11.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOE-APSOE 50.0% → 45.4% 6 → 5 councillors
  2. PPPP 40.9% → 39.8% 5 → 5 councillors
  3. VOXVox 7.6% → 13.2% 0 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,673 valid votes including 41 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Fuente Obejuna in size, in Córdoba

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