Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Fuente Obejuna: no list would have a majority, PSOE-A largest

Fuente Obejuna (Córdoba, 4,462 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE-A−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 45.4% of the vote (2023: 50.0%) Majority 33%
PP±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 39.8% of the vote (2023: 40.9%) Majority 9%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 13.2% of the vote (2023: 7.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 58% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOE-APSOE 50.0% → 45.4% 6 → 5 councillors
  2. PPPP 40.9% → 39.8% 5 → 5 councillors
  3. VOXVox 7.6% → 13.2% 0 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,673 valid votes including 41 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Fuente Obejuna in size, in Córdoba

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