Belmez: PSOE-A would keep its majority
Belmez (Córdoba, 2,862 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 82%PSOE-A majority
- 1,679valid votes in 2023 (68% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 18% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Belmez
Belmez is a municipality in the province of Córdoba with 2,862 inhabitants, the 42nd largest of its 77 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PSOE-A came first with 52.1% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; CON ANDALUCÍA was second with 3. 67.8% of the 2,478 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PSOE-A on 6 seats, a majority, which it holds in 82% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOE-APSOE 52.1% → 52.9% 6 → 6 councillors
- CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 25.2% → 23.1% 3 → 3 councillors
- PPPP 21.0% → 22.2% 2 → 2 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,679 valid votes including 29 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.