Belalcázar: PSOE-A would keep its majority
Belalcázar (Córdoba, 3,166 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 79%PSOE-A majority
- 2,042valid votes in 2023 (76% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PSOE-A−1
6
councillors (2023: 7) · 52.7% of the vote (2023: 56.9%)
Majority 79%
PP±0
4
councillors (2023: 4) · 36.3% of the vote (2023: 36.9%)
Majority 2%
VOX+1
1
councillors (2023: 0) · 9.2% of the vote (2023: 4.4%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 20% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOE-APSOE 56.9% → 52.7% 7 → 6 councillors
- PPPP 36.9% → 36.3% 4 → 4 councillors
- VOXVox 4.4% → 9.2% 0 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,042 valid votes including 37 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.