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Belmez: PSOE-A would keep its majority

Belmez (Córdoba, 2,862 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE-A±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 52.9% of the vote (2023: 52.1%) Majority 82%
CON ANDALUCÍA±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 23.1% of the vote (2023: 25.2%) Majority 0%
PP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 22.2% of the vote (2023: 21.0%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 18% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOE-APSOE 52.1% → 52.9% 6 → 6 councillors
  2. CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 25.2% → 23.1% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. PPPP 21.0% → 22.2% 2 → 2 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,679 valid votes including 29 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Belmez in size, in Córdoba

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