Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Tomelloso: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Tomelloso (Ciudad Real, 36,024 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE−1
9 councillors (2023: 10) · 40.4% of the vote (2023: 44.7%) Majority 8%
PP−1
8 councillors (2023: 9) · 37.9% of the vote (2023: 38.9%) Majority 3%
VOX+2
4 councillors (2023: 2) · 20.1% of the vote (2023: 12.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 89% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Tomelloso

Tomelloso is a municipality in the province of Ciudad Real with 36,024 inhabitants, the 3rd largest of its 102 municipalities. Its council has 21 seats, and 11 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 44.7% of the vote and 10 seats; PP was second with 9. 63.3% of the 26,065 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSOE would be largest on 9 of 21.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 44.7% → 40.4% 10 → 9 councillors
  2. PPPP 38.9% → 37.9% 9 → 8 councillors
  3. VOXVox 12.8% → 20.1% 2 → 4 councillors
  4. UNIDAS-PODEMOS-IUSumar, Podemos and allies 2.6% → 0.6% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 16,503 valid votes including 167 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Tomelloso in size, in Ciudad Real

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