Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Daimiel: PP would keep its majority

Daimiel (Ciudad Real, 17,680 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
9 councillors (2023: 9) · 51.0% of the vote (2023: 51.0%) Majority 79%
PSOE−1
6 councillors (2023: 7) · 32.8% of the vote (2023: 36.0%) Majority 3%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 10.4% of the vote (2023: 5.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 18% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 51.0% → 51.0% 9 → 9 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 36.0% → 32.8% 7 → 6 councillors
  3. VOXVox 5.2% → 10.4% 1 → 2 councillors
  4. UCINLocal lists 2.7% → 2.8% 0 → 0 councillors
  5. UNIDAS-IU-PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 4.1% → 2.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 9,827 valid votes including 98 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Daimiel in size, in Ciudad Real

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