Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Ciudad Real: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Ciudad Real (Ciudad Real, 74,850 inhabitants) elects 25 councillors on 23 May 2027; 13 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP−1
10 councillors (2023: 11) · 38.4% of the vote (2023: 39.7%) Majority 9%
PSOE−1
8 councillors (2023: 9) · 30.4% of the vote (2023: 34.5%) Majority under 1%
VOX+2
6 councillors (2023: 4) · 22.0% of the vote (2023: 14.4%) Majority 0%
CS±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 5.2% of the vote (2023: 5.0%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (13 of 25). No list with a majority in 91% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Ciudad Real

Ciudad Real is a municipality in the province of Ciudad Real with 74,850 inhabitants, the largest of its 102 municipalities. Its council has 25 seats, and 13 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 39.7% of the vote and 11 seats; PSOE was second with 9. 66.8% of the 58,667 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 10 of 25.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 39.7% → 38.4% 11 → 10 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 34.5% → 30.4% 9 → 8 councillors
  3. VOXVox 14.4% → 22.0% 4 → 6 councillors
  4. CSCiudadanos 5.0% → 5.2% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. UNIDAS - IU - PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 4.9% → 2.6% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 39,168 valid votes including 569 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Ciudad Real in size, in Ciudad Real

Every municipality in Ciudad Real → · All of Spain →