Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Almagro: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Almagro (Ciudad Real, 8,907 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 38.4% of the vote (2023: 39.5%) Majority 7%
PSOE−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 36.2% of the vote (2023: 40.4%) Majority 3%
A.E.P.A.±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 13.7% of the vote (2023: 13.3%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 10.0% of the vote (2023: 5.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 90% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Almagro

Almagro is a municipality in the province of Ciudad Real with 8,907 inhabitants, the 14th largest of its 102 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 40.4% of the vote and 6 seats; PP was second with 5. 70.1% of the 7,078 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSOE would be largest on 5 of 13.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 39.5% → 38.4% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 40.4% → 36.2% 6 → 5 councillors
  3. A.E.P.A.Local lists 13.3% → 13.7% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. VOXVox 5.1% → 10.0% 0 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,965 valid votes including 84 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Almagro in size, in Ciudad Real

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