Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Herencia: PSOE would keep its majority

Herencia (Ciudad Real, 8,432 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE−1
7 councillors (2023: 8) · 51.7% of the vote (2023: 56.9%) Majority 76%
PP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 30.1% of the vote (2023: 31.3%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 16.9% of the vote (2023: 10.5%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 24% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 56.9% → 51.7% 8 → 7 councillors
  2. PPPP 31.3% → 30.1% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. VOXVox 10.5% → 16.9% 1 → 2 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,128 valid votes including 54 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Herencia in size, in Ciudad Real

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