Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Villarrubia de los Ojos: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Villarrubia de los Ojos (Ciudad Real, 9,667 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 38.7% of the vote (2023: 40.7%) Majority 9%
PSOE±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 35.0% of the vote (2023: 40.0%) Majority 2%
VOX+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 20.3% of the vote (2023: 13.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 88% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 40.7% → 38.7% 6 → 5 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 40.0% → 35.0% 5 → 5 councillors
  3. VOXVox 13.4% → 20.3% 2 → 3 councillors
  4. A.E. VIVE VILLARRUBIA VECINALLocal lists 4.0% → 4.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 5,398 valid votes including 105 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Villarrubia de los Ojos in size, in Ciudad Real

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