Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Almadén: PP would keep its majority

Almadén (Ciudad Real, 5,069 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
8 councillors (2023: 8) · 59.5% of the vote (2023: 57.9%) Majority 97%
PSOE±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 26.5% of the vote (2023: 29.0%) Majority 0%
ALSIM±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 12.7% of the vote (2023: 11.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 3% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Almadén

Almadén is a municipality in the province of Ciudad Real with 5,069 inhabitants, the 23rd largest of its 102 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 57.9% of the vote and 8 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 4. 64% of the 4,200 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 8 seats, a majority, which it holds in 97% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 57.9% → 59.5% 8 → 8 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 29.0% → 26.5% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. ALSIMLocal lists 11.8% → 12.7% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,689 valid votes including 35 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Almadén in size, in Ciudad Real

Every municipality in Ciudad Real → · All of Spain →