Almadén: PP would keep its majority
Almadén (Ciudad Real, 5,069 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- 97%PP majority
- 2,689valid votes in 2023 (64% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 3% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Almadén
Almadén is a municipality in the province of Ciudad Real with 5,069 inhabitants, the 23rd largest of its 102 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 57.9% of the vote and 8 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 4. 64% of the 4,200 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 8 seats, a majority, which it holds in 97% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 57.9% → 59.5% 8 → 8 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 29.0% → 26.5% 4 → 4 councillors
- ALSIMLocal lists 11.8% → 12.7% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,689 valid votes including 35 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near Almadén in size, in Ciudad Real
- Moral de Calatrava5,178 inhabitants · 13 councillors
- Villanueva de los Infantes4,828 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Argamasilla de Calatrava5,849 inhabitants · 13 councillors
- Almodóvar del Campo5,873 inhabitants · 13 councillors
- Piedrabuena4,363 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Membrilla5,904 inhabitants · 13 councillors