Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Moral de Calatrava: PP would keep its majority

Moral de Calatrava (Ciudad Real, 5,178 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
9 councillors (2023: 9) · 64.5% of the vote (2023: 64.3%) Majority over 99%
PSOE−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 27.5% of the vote (2023: 30.7%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 7.1% of the vote (2023: 2.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 64.3% → 64.5% 9 → 9 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 30.7% → 27.5% 4 → 3 councillors
  3. VOXVox 2.8% → 7.1% 0 → 1 councillors
  4. UNIDAS PODEMOS-IUSumar, Podemos and allies 1.4% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,036 valid votes including 25 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Moral de Calatrava in size, in Ciudad Real

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