Moral de Calatrava: PP would keep its majority
Moral de Calatrava (Ciudad Real, 5,178 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- over 99%PP majority
- 3,036valid votes in 2023 (76% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Moral de Calatrava
Moral de Calatrava is a municipality in the province of Ciudad Real with 5,178 inhabitants, the 22nd largest of its 102 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 64.3% of the vote and 9 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 4. 76.2% of the 3,985 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 9 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 64.3% → 64.5% 9 → 9 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 30.7% → 27.5% 4 → 3 councillors
- VOXVox 2.8% → 7.1% 0 → 1 councillors
- UNIDAS PODEMOS-IUSumar, Podemos and allies 1.4% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,036 valid votes including 25 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near Moral de Calatrava in size, in Ciudad Real
- Almadén5,069 inhabitants · 13 councillors
- Villanueva de los Infantes4,828 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Argamasilla de Calatrava5,849 inhabitants · 13 councillors
- Almodóvar del Campo5,873 inhabitants · 13 councillors
- Membrilla5,904 inhabitants · 13 councillors
- Piedrabuena4,363 inhabitants · 11 councillors