Membrilla: PP would keep its majority
Membrilla (Ciudad Real, 5,904 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- 92%PP majority
- 3,790valid votes in 2023 (80% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP±0
8
councillors (2023: 8) · 58.4% of the vote (2023: 56.3%)
Majority 92%
PSOE±0
5
councillors (2023: 5) · 40.0% of the vote (2023: 42.1%)
Majority 8%
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 56.3% → 58.4% 8 → 8 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 42.1% → 40.0% 5 → 5 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,790 valid votes including 62 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near Membrilla in size, in Ciudad Real
- Almodóvar del Campo5,873 inhabitants · 13 councillors
- Argamasilla de Calatrava5,849 inhabitants · 13 councillors
- Moral de Calatrava5,178 inhabitants · 13 councillors
- Argamasilla de Alba6,846 inhabitants · 13 councillors
- Almadén5,069 inhabitants · 13 councillors
- Villanueva de los Infantes4,828 inhabitants · 11 councillors