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Spain · Municipal elections 2027 · Ciudad Real

Membrilla: PP would keep its majority

Membrilla (Ciudad Real, 5,904 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
8 councillors (2023: 8) · 58.4% of the vote (2023: 56.3%) Majority 92%
PSOE±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 40.0% of the vote (2023: 42.1%) Majority 8%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Membrilla

Membrilla is a municipality in the province of Ciudad Real with 5,904 inhabitants, the 19th largest of its 102 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 56.3% of the vote and 8 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 5. 79.7% of the 4,755 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 8 seats, a majority, which it holds in 92% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 56.3% → 58.4% 8 → 8 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 42.1% → 40.0% 5 → 5 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,790 valid votes including 62 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Membrilla in size, in Ciudad Real

Every municipality in Ciudad Real → · All of Spain →