Soba: P.R.C. would keep its majority
Soba (Cantabria, 1,131 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- over 99%P.R.C. majority
- 799valid votes in 2023 (80% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Soba
Soba is a municipality in the province of Cantabria with 1,131 inhabitants, the 62nd largest of its 102 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 P.R.C. came first with 62.7% of the vote and 7 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 2. 79.7% of the 1,003 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps P.R.C. on 7 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- P.R.C.Local lists 62.7% → 65.7% 7 → 7 councillors
- PPPP 24.0% → 23.4% 2 → 2 councillors
- ASOBALocal lists 5.3% → 5.5% 0 → 0 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 7.4% → 4.8% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 799 valid votes including 5 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.