Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Rasines: P.R.C. would keep its majority

Rasines (Cantabria, 996 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

P.R.C.±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 52.0% of the vote (2023: 48.7%) Majority 84%
PSOE±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 31.2% of the vote (2023: 34.0%) Majority 0%
PP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 16.1% of the vote (2023: 16.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 16% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. P.R.C.Local lists 48.7% → 52.0% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 34.0% → 31.2% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. PPPP 16.6% → 16.1% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 639 valid votes including 5 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Rasines in size, in Cantabria

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