Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Cabuérniga: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Cabuérniga (Cantabria, 994 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 44.4% of the vote (2023: 45.7%) Majority 32%
P.R.C.±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 27.3% of the vote (2023: 24.7%) Majority 0%
PP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 26.9% of the vote (2023: 26.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 68% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 45.7% → 44.4% 3 → 3 councillors
  2. P.R.C.Local lists 24.7% → 27.3% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. PPPP 26.1% → 26.9% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. PODEMOS-IUSumar, Podemos and allies 2.7% → 0.7% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 750 valid votes including 6 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Cabuérniga in size, in Cantabria

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