Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Rionansa: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Rionansa (Cantabria, 1,026 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 45.3% of the vote (2023: 44.8%) Majority 39%
P.R.C.±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 33.8% of the vote (2023: 31.6%) Majority 1%
PSOE±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 18.2% of the vote (2023: 20.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 60% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Rionansa

Rionansa is a municipality in the province of Cantabria with 1,026 inhabitants, the 66th largest of its 102 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 44.8% of the vote and 4 seats; P.R.C. was second with 3. 77.4% of the 931 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 4 of 9.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 44.8% → 45.3% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. P.R.C.Local lists 31.6% → 33.8% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 20.8% → 18.2% 2 → 2 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 721 valid votes including 20 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Rionansa in size, in Cantabria

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