Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Santa Cruz de Bezana: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Santa Cruz de Bezana (Cantabria, 13,482 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
7 councillors (2023: 7) · 37.6% of the vote (2023: 38.6%) Majority 9%
PSOE−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 28.8% of the vote (2023: 32.6%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 16.5% of the vote (2023: 10.0%) Majority 0%
ADVI±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 6.7% of the vote (2023: 6.5%) Majority 0%
P.R.C.±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 6.5% of the vote (2023: 6.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 91% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 38.6% → 37.6% 7 → 7 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 32.6% → 28.8% 6 → 5 councillors
  3. VOXVox 10.0% → 16.5% 2 → 3 councillors
  4. ADVILocal lists 6.5% → 6.7% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. P.R.C.Local lists 6.3% → 6.5% 1 → 1 councillors
  6. PODEMOS-IUSumar, Podemos and allies 4.1% → 2.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 7,424 valid votes including 140 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Santa Cruz de Bezana in size, in Cantabria

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