El Astillero: CS would keep its majority
El Astillero (Cantabria, 18,153 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 17councillors, 9 for a majority
- over 99%CS majority
- 10,301valid votes in 2023 (72% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
CS±0
15
councillors (2023: 15) · 71.8% of the vote (2023: 70.1%)
Majority over 99%
VOX+1
1
councillors (2023: 0) · 6.6% of the vote (2023: 2.5%)
Majority 0%
PSOE±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 5.6% of the vote (2023: 8.4%)
Majority 0%
PP−1
0
councillors (2023: 1) · 4.5% of the vote (2023: 5.6%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- CSCiudadanos 70.1% → 71.8% 15 → 15 councillors
- VOXVox 2.5% → 6.6% 0 → 1 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 8.4% → 5.6% 1 → 1 councillors
- PPPP 5.6% → 4.5% 1 → 0 councillors
- P.R.C.Local lists 3.7% → 3.8% 0 → 0 councillors
- UCINLocal lists 2.7% → 2.8% 0 → 0 councillors
- VPAGLocal lists 2.2% → 2.2% 0 → 0 councillors
- IU-PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 3.9% → 1.7% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 10,301 valid votes including 80 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.