Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Santoña: no list would have a majority, SÑS largest

Santoña (Cantabria, 10,857 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

SÑS−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 32.0% of the vote (2023: 31.3%) Majority 0%
PSOE−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 22.5% of the vote (2023: 26.3%) Majority 0%
PP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 22.3% of the vote (2023: 23.6%) Majority 0%
VOX+2
3 councillors (2023: 1) · 16.0% of the vote (2023: 9.8%) Majority 0%
P.R.C.±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 5.5% of the vote (2023: 5.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. SÑSLocal lists 31.3% → 32.0% 6 → 5 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 26.3% → 22.5% 5 → 4 councillors
  3. PPPP 23.6% → 22.3% 4 → 4 councillors
  4. VOXVox 9.8% → 16.0% 1 → 3 councillors
  5. P.R.C.Local lists 5.4% → 5.5% 1 → 1 councillors
  6. IU-PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 2.4% → 0.4% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 6,143 valid votes including 79 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Santoña in size, in Cantabria

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