Reinosa: no list would have a majority, PP largest
Reinosa (Cantabria, 8,660 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- over 99%no list with a majority
- 4,991valid votes in 2023 (71% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Reinosa
Reinosa is a municipality in the province of Cantabria with 8,660 inhabitants, the 13th largest of its 102 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PSOE came first with 31.8% of the vote and 4 seats; PP was second with 4. 70.7% of the 7,058 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSOE would be largest on 4 of 13.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 30.1% → 30.0% 4 → 4 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 31.8% → 29.0% 4 → 4 councillors
- P.R.C.Local lists 19.5% → 20.8% 3 → 3 councillors
- VOXVox 7.2% → 13.1% 1 → 2 councillors
- RECSumar, Podemos and allies 7.0% → 4.6% 1 → 0 councillors
- IU-PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 3.1% → 1.1% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,991 valid votes including 69 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.