Santa María de Cayón: no list would have a majority, VOX largest
Santa María de Cayón (Cantabria, 9,192 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- over 99%no list with a majority
- 5,353valid votes in 2023 (73% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
VOX+2
4
councillors (2023: 2) · 25.3% of the vote (2023: 17.7%)
Majority 0%
PP−1
3
councillors (2023: 4) · 23.3% of the vote (2023: 25.4%)
Majority 0%
AIDC±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 22.5% of the vote (2023: 22.7%)
Majority 0%
P.R.C.±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 22.2% of the vote (2023: 22.4%)
Majority 0%
PSOE−1
0
councillors (2023: 1) · 4.1% of the vote (2023: 6.9%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- VOXVox 17.7% → 25.3% 2 → 4 councillors
- PPPP 25.4% → 23.3% 4 → 3 councillors
- AIDCLocal lists 22.7% → 22.5% 3 → 3 councillors
- P.R.C.Local lists 22.4% → 22.2% 3 → 3 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 6.9% → 4.1% 1 → 0 councillors
- IU-PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 3.5% → 1.4% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 5,353 valid votes including 70 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.