Santa María de Cayón: no list would have a majority, VOX largest
Santa María de Cayón (Cantabria, 9,192 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- over 99%no list with a majority
- 5,353valid votes in 2023 (73% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Santa María de Cayón
Santa María de Cayón is a municipality in the province of Cantabria with 9,192 inhabitants, the 11th largest of its 102 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 25.4% of the vote and 4 seats; AIDC was second with 3. 73% of the 7,330 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: VOX would be largest on 4 of 13.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- VOXVox 17.7% → 25.3% 2 → 4 councillors
- PPPP 25.4% → 23.3% 4 → 3 councillors
- AIDCLocal lists 22.7% → 22.5% 3 → 3 councillors
- P.R.C.Local lists 22.4% → 22.2% 3 → 3 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 6.9% → 4.1% 1 → 0 councillors
- IU-PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 3.5% → 1.4% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 5,353 valid votes including 70 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.