Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Villamartín: no list would have a majority, UA largest

Villamartín (Cádiz, 12,095 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

UA±0
8 councillors (2023: 8) · 44.6% of the vote (2023: 42.5%) Majority 37%
PSOE-A−1
7 councillors (2023: 8) · 38.3% of the vote (2023: 41.8%) Majority 11%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 7.6% of the vote (2023: 3.1%) Majority 0%
PP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 6.1% of the vote (2023: 7.0%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 52% of 300 simulated elections.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Villamartín

Villamartín is a municipality in the province of Cádiz with 12,095 inhabitants, the 20th largest of its 45 municipalities. Its council has 17 seats, and 9 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 UA came first with 42.5% of the vote and 8 seats; PSOE-A was second with 8. 65.4% of the 10,015 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: UA would be largest on 8 of 17.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. UALocal lists 42.5% → 44.6% 8 → 8 councillors
  2. PSOE-APSOE 41.8% → 38.3% 8 → 7 councillors
  3. VOXVox 3.1% → 7.6% 0 → 1 councillors
  4. PPPP 7.0% → 6.1% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. IU ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 4.6% → 2.4% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 6,552 valid votes including 64 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Villamartín in size, in Cádiz

Every municipality in Cádiz → · All of Spain →