Setenil de las Bodegas: UA would keep its majority
Setenil de las Bodegas (Cádiz, 2,675 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 87%UA majority
- 1,804valid votes in 2023 (81% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Setenil de las Bodegas
Setenil de las Bodegas is a municipality in the province of Cádiz with 2,675 inhabitants, the 37th largest of its 45 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 UA came first with 52.9% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE-A was second with 5. 81.1% of the 2,225 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps UA on 6 seats, a majority, which it holds in 87% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- UALocal lists 52.9% → 56.7% 6 → 6 councillors
- PSOE-APSOE 44.7% → 42.0% 5 → 5 councillors
- PPPP 1.6% → 0.6% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,804 valid votes including 13 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.