El Gastor: PSOE-A would keep its majority
El Gastor (Cádiz, 1,699 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- 80%PSOE-A majority
- 1,084valid votes in 2023 (77% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PSOE-A−1
5
councillors (2023: 6) · 52.1% of the vote (2023: 56.7%)
Majority 80%
PP±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 32.4% of the vote (2023: 33.4%)
Majority 1%
VOX+1
1
councillors (2023: 0) · 14.7% of the vote (2023: 8.7%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 20% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOE-APSOE 56.7% → 52.1% 6 → 5 councillors
- PPPP 33.4% → 32.4% 3 → 3 councillors
- VOXVox 8.7% → 14.7% 0 → 1 councillors
- IU ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 0.5% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,084 valid votes including 8 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.