El Gastor: PSOE-A would keep its majority
El Gastor (Cádiz, 1,699 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- 80%PSOE-A majority
- 1,084valid votes in 2023 (77% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 20% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About El Gastor
El Gastor is a municipality in the province of Cádiz with 1,699 inhabitants, the 40th largest of its 45 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PSOE-A came first with 56.7% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 3. 76.8% of the 1,412 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PSOE-A on 5 seats, a majority, which it holds in 80% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOE-APSOE 56.7% → 52.1% 6 → 5 councillors
- PPPP 33.4% → 32.4% 3 → 3 councillors
- VOXVox 8.7% → 14.7% 0 → 1 councillors
- IU ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 0.5% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,084 valid votes including 8 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.