Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Medina Sidonia: no list would have a majority, PSOE-A largest

Medina Sidonia (Cádiz, 11,739 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE-A±0
7 councillors (2023: 7) · 39.0% of the vote (2023: 40.3%) Majority 10%
IU ANDALUCÍA−1
6 councillors (2023: 7) · 34.8% of the vote (2023: 38.2%) Majority 2%
PP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 17.8% of the vote (2023: 17.6%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 5.8% of the vote (2023: 1.5%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 88% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Medina Sidonia

Medina Sidonia is a municipality in the province of Cádiz with 11,739 inhabitants, the 21st largest of its 45 municipalities. Its council has 17 seats, and 9 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE-A came first with 40.3% of the vote and 7 seats; IU ANDALUCÍA was second with 7. 72.5% of the 9,492 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSOE-A would be largest on 7 of 17.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOE-APSOE 40.3% → 39.0% 7 → 7 councillors
  2. IU ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 38.2% → 34.8% 7 → 6 councillors
  3. PPPP 17.6% → 17.8% 3 → 3 councillors
  4. VOXVox 1.5% → 5.8% 0 → 1 councillors
  5. CSCiudadanos 1.2% → 1.3% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 6,882 valid votes including 78 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Medina Sidonia in size, in Cádiz

Every municipality in Cádiz → · All of Spain →