Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Jimena de la Frontera: IU ANDALUCÍA would keep its majority

Jimena de la Frontera (Cádiz, 6,681 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

IU ANDALUCÍA±0
8 councillors (2023: 8) · 54.4% of the vote (2023: 55.2%) Majority 83%
PSOE-A±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 33.8% of the vote (2023: 33.3%) Majority 1%
PP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 10.9% of the vote (2023: 10.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 16% of 300 simulated elections.

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About Jimena de la Frontera

Jimena de la Frontera is a municipality in the province of Cádiz with 6,681 inhabitants, the 27th largest of its 45 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 IU ANDALUCÍA came first with 55.2% of the vote and 8 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE-A was second with 4. 68.9% of the 4,964 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps IU ANDALUCÍA on 8 seats, a majority, which it holds in 83% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. IU ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 55.2% → 54.4% 8 → 8 councillors
  2. PSOE-APSOE 33.3% → 33.8% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. PPPP 10.6% → 10.9% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,419 valid votes including 30 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Jimena de la Frontera in size, in Cádiz

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