España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Alcalá de los Gazules: PSOE-A would keep its majority

Alcalá de los Gazules (Cádiz, 5,227 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE-A±0
9 councillors (2023: 9) · 58.5% of the vote (2023: 62.3%) Majority 99%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 19.4% of the vote (2023: 11.9%) Majority 0%
PP−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 12.5% of the vote (2023: 13.3%) Majority 0%
IU ANDALUCÍA±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 8.7% of the vote (2023: 11.5%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 1% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOE-APSOE 62.3% → 58.5% 9 → 9 councillors
  2. VOXVox 11.9% → 19.4% 1 → 2 councillors
  3. PPPP 13.3% → 12.5% 2 → 1 councillors
  4. IU ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 11.5% → 8.7% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,947 valid votes including 27 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Alcalá de los Gazules in size, in Cádiz

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