Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Quintanar de la Sierra: no list would have a majority, US largest

Quintanar de la Sierra (Burgos, 1,557 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

US±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 40.3% of the vote (2023: 41.0%) Majority 13%
PP−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 25.1% of the vote (2023: 27.3%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 20.6% of the vote (2023: 13.9%) Majority 0%
PSOE±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 13.6% of the vote (2023: 17.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 87% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Quintanar de la Sierra

Quintanar de la Sierra is a municipality in the province of Burgos with 1,557 inhabitants, the 16th largest of its 367 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 US came first with 41% of the vote and 4 seats; PP was second with 3. 73.1% of the 1,255 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: US would be largest on 4 of 9.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. USLocal lists 41.0% → 40.3% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. PPPP 27.3% → 25.1% 3 → 2 councillors
  3. VOXVox 13.9% → 20.6% 1 → 2 councillors
  4. PSOEPSOE 17.3% → 13.6% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 918 valid votes including 4 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Quintanar de la Sierra in size, in Burgos

Every municipality in Burgos → · All of Spain →