Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Espinosa de los Monteros: PSOE would keep its majority

Espinosa de los Monteros (Burgos, 1,642 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 50.3% of the vote (2023: 52.3%) Majority 72%
PP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 34.6% of the vote (2023: 33.8%) Majority 2%
JXE±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 14.0% of the vote (2023: 12.9%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 26% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 52.3% → 50.3% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. PPPP 33.8% → 34.6% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. JXELocal lists 12.9% → 14.0% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,102 valid votes including 11 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Espinosa de los Monteros in size, in Burgos

Every municipality in Burgos → · All of Spain →