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Melgar de Fernamental: no list would have a majority, EV-PCAS-TC largest

Melgar de Fernamental (Burgos, 1,535 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

EV-PCAS-TC±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 31.8% of the vote (2023: 31.4%) Majority under 1%
PP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 25.5% of the vote (2023: 27.0%) Majority 0%
VB±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 24.6% of the vote (2023: 24.3%) Majority 0%
PSOE±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 10.3% of the vote (2023: 13.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Melgar de Fernamental

Melgar de Fernamental is a municipality in the province of Burgos with 1,535 inhabitants, the 17th largest of its 367 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 EV-PCAS-TC came first with 31.4% of the vote and 3 seats; PP was second with 3. 74.2% of the 1,285 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: EV-PCAS-TC would be largest on 3 of 9.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. EV-PCAS-TCLocal lists 31.4% → 31.8% 3 → 3 councillors
  2. PPPP 27.0% → 25.5% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. VBLocal lists 24.3% → 24.6% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. PSOEPSOE 13.4% → 10.3% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. VOXVox 2.8% → 6.9% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 954 valid votes including 9 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Melgar de Fernamental in size, in Burgos

Every municipality in Burgos → · All of Spain →