Melgar de Fernamental: no list would have a majority, EV-PCAS-TC largest
Melgar de Fernamental (Burgos, 1,535 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- over 99%no list with a majority
- 954valid votes in 2023 (74% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Melgar de Fernamental
Melgar de Fernamental is a municipality in the province of Burgos with 1,535 inhabitants, the 17th largest of its 367 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 EV-PCAS-TC came first with 31.4% of the vote and 3 seats; PP was second with 3. 74.2% of the 1,285 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: EV-PCAS-TC would be largest on 3 of 9.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- EV-PCAS-TCLocal lists 31.4% → 31.8% 3 → 3 councillors
- PPPP 27.0% → 25.5% 3 → 3 councillors
- VBLocal lists 24.3% → 24.6% 2 → 2 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 13.4% → 10.3% 1 → 1 councillors
- VOXVox 2.8% → 6.9% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 954 valid votes including 9 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near Melgar de Fernamental in size, in Burgos
- Quintanar de la Sierra1,557 inhabitants · 9 councillors
- Villadiego1,478 inhabitants · 9 councillors
- Villalbilla de Burgos1,462 inhabitants · 9 councillors
- Espinosa de los Monteros1,642 inhabitants · 9 councillors
- Condado de Treviño1,428 inhabitants · 9 councillors
- Cardeñadijo1,425 inhabitants · 9 councillors