Vacarisses: ERC - AM would keep its majority
Vacarisses (Barcelona, 7,325 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- 95%ERC - AM majority
- 2,845valid votes in 2023 (51% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 5% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Vacarisses
Vacarisses is a municipality in the province of Barcelona with 7,325 inhabitants, the 112th largest of its 311 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 ERC - AM came first with 42.7% of the vote and 7 seats, an absolute majority; CM was second with 2. 50.6% of the 5,619 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps ERC - AM on 8 seats, a majority, which it holds in 95% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- ERC - AMERC 42.7% → 49.4% 7 → 8 councillors
- VOXVox 6.4% → 10.6% 1 → 1 councillors
- CMJunts 12.9% → 10.5% 2 → 1 councillors
- LAVVLocal lists 8.9% → 8.3% 1 → 1 councillors
- V PER VLocal lists 8.1% → 7.6% 1 → 1 councillors
- PSC-CPPSOE 10.0% → 6.5% 1 → 1 councillors
- MV-ECP - CSumar, Podemos and allies 4.8% → 2.3% 0 → 0 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 1.7% → 1.6% 0 → 0 councillors
- PPPP 2.7% → 1.5% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,845 valid votes including 50 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.