Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Santpedor: no list would have a majority, ERC-AM largest

Santpedor (Barcelona, 7,612 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

ERC-AM+1
6 councillors (2023: 5) · 39.1% of the vote (2023: 32.8%) Majority 8%
SEAM±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 27.0% of the vote (2023: 28.1%) Majority 0%
CUP - AMUNT±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 18.6% of the vote (2023: 19.4%) Majority 0%
CM−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 11.5% of the vote (2023: 13.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 92% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. ERC-AMERC 32.8% → 39.1% 5 → 6 councillors
  2. SEAMLocal lists 28.1% → 27.0% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. CUP - AMUNTCUP 19.4% → 18.6% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. CMJunts 13.7% → 11.5% 2 → 1 councillors
  5. SANTPEDOR EN COMÚ PODEM - CONFLUÈNCIA (SECP-C)Sumar, Podemos and allies 3.3% → 1.1% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,380 valid votes including 89 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Santpedor in size, in Barcelona

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