Cabrils: no list would have a majority, ERC - AM largest
Cabrils (Barcelona, 7,729 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- 93%no list with a majority
- 2,726valid votes in 2023 (49% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 93% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Cabrils
Cabrils is a municipality in the province of Barcelona with 7,729 inhabitants, the 106th largest of its 311 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 CM came first with 30.5% of the vote and 4 seats; ERC - AM was second with 4. 48.9% of the 5,575 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: ERC - AM would be largest on 5 of 13.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- ERC - AMERC 28.7% → 35.6% 4 → 5 councillors
- CMJunts 30.5% → 26.7% 4 → 4 councillors
- MUCLocal lists 16.1% → 16.1% 2 → 2 councillors
- PSC-CPPSOE 13.3% → 10.0% 2 → 1 councillors
- UNITS X CABRILSLocal lists 8.1% → 8.1% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,726 valid votes including 92 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.