Tordera: no list would have a majority, ERC- GDT-JOVENT-AM largest
Tordera (Barcelona, 18,022 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 17councillors, 9 for a majority
- 99%no list with a majority
- 5,951valid votes in 2023 (44% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 99% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Tordera
Tordera is a municipality in the province of Barcelona with 18,022 inhabitants, the 54th largest of its 311 municipalities. Its council has 17 seats, and 9 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 CM came first with 25.4% of the vote and 5 seats; ERC- GDT-JOVENT-AM was second with 4. 44.4% of the 13,410 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: ERC- GDT-JOVENT-AM would be largest on 6 of 17.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- ERC- GDT-JOVENT-AMERC 22.9% → 28.1% 4 → 6 councillors
- CMJunts 25.4% → 22.0% 5 → 4 councillors
- VOXVox 9.4% → 15.0% 2 → 3 councillors
- PSC-CPPSOE 15.7% → 12.2% 3 → 2 councillors
- MT -IDCLocal lists 9.2% → 9.1% 2 → 2 councillors
- MVXTLocal lists 4.3% → 4.3% 0 → 0 councillors
- ECPT - CSumar, Podemos and allies 6.0% → 3.5% 1 → 0 councillors
- PPPP 3.6% → 2.4% 0 → 0 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 1.3% → 1.2% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 5,951 valid votes including 128 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.