Caldes de Montbui: no list would have a majority, ERC - AM largest
Caldes de Montbui (Barcelona, 17,932 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 17councillors, 9 for a majority
- 62%no list with a majority
- 6,987valid votes in 2023 (51% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
ERC - AM+1
8
councillors (2023: 7) · 43.3% of the vote (2023: 34.9%)
Majority 38%
AC - ARA PL±0
4
councillors (2023: 4) · 22.5% of the vote (2023: 22.4%)
Majority 0%
CM±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 11.9% of the vote (2023: 13.5%)
Majority 0%
PSC-CP−1
2
councillors (2023: 3) · 11.3% of the vote (2023: 14.6%)
Majority 0%
PP±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 7.1% of the vote (2023: 8.3%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 62% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- ERC - AMERC 34.9% → 43.3% 7 → 8 councillors
- AC - ARA PLLocal lists 22.4% → 22.5% 4 → 4 councillors
- CMJunts 13.5% → 11.9% 2 → 2 councillors
- PSC-CPPSOE 14.6% → 11.3% 3 → 2 councillors
- PPPP 8.3% → 7.1% 1 → 1 councillors
- CMECP-CSumar, Podemos and allies 4.1% → 1.9% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 6,987 valid votes including 146 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.