Caldes de Montbui: no list would have a majority, ERC - AM largest
Caldes de Montbui (Barcelona, 17,932 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 17councillors, 9 for a majority
- 62%no list with a majority
- 6,987valid votes in 2023 (51% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 62% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Caldes de Montbui
Caldes de Montbui is a municipality in the province of Barcelona with 17,932 inhabitants, the 55th largest of its 311 municipalities. Its council has 17 seats, and 9 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 ERC - AM came first with 34.9% of the vote and 7 seats; AC - ARA PL was second with 4. 51.2% of the 13,652 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: ERC - AM would be largest on 8 of 17.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- ERC - AMERC 34.9% → 43.3% 7 → 8 councillors
- AC - ARA PLLocal lists 22.4% → 22.5% 4 → 4 councillors
- CMJunts 13.5% → 11.9% 2 → 2 councillors
- PSC-CPPSOE 14.6% → 11.3% 3 → 2 councillors
- PPPP 8.3% → 7.1% 1 → 1 councillors
- CMECP-CSumar, Podemos and allies 4.1% → 1.9% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 6,987 valid votes including 146 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.