Tordera: no list would have a majority, ERC- GDT-JOVENT-AM largest
Tordera (Barcelona, 18,022 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 17councillors, 9 for a majority
- 99%no list with a majority
- 5,951valid votes in 2023 (44% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
ERC- GDT-JOVENT-AM+2
6
councillors (2023: 4) · 28.1% of the vote (2023: 22.9%)
Majority 1%
CM−1
4
councillors (2023: 5) · 22.0% of the vote (2023: 25.4%)
Majority 0%
VOX+1
3
councillors (2023: 2) · 15.0% of the vote (2023: 9.4%)
Majority 0%
PSC-CP−1
2
councillors (2023: 3) · 12.2% of the vote (2023: 15.7%)
Majority 0%
MT -IDC±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 9.1% of the vote (2023: 9.2%)
Majority 0%
ECPT - C−1
0
councillors (2023: 1) · 3.5% of the vote (2023: 6.0%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 99% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- ERC- GDT-JOVENT-AMERC 22.9% → 28.1% 4 → 6 councillors
- CMJunts 25.4% → 22.0% 5 → 4 councillors
- VOXVox 9.4% → 15.0% 2 → 3 councillors
- PSC-CPPSOE 15.7% → 12.2% 3 → 2 councillors
- MT -IDCLocal lists 9.2% → 9.1% 2 → 2 councillors
- MVXTLocal lists 4.3% → 4.3% 0 → 0 councillors
- ECPT - CSumar, Podemos and allies 6.0% → 3.5% 1 → 0 councillors
- PPPP 3.6% → 2.4% 0 → 0 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 1.3% → 1.2% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 5,951 valid votes including 128 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.