Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Santa Maria de Palautordera: CM would keep its majority

Santa Maria de Palautordera (Barcelona, 9,777 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

CM−1
8 councillors (2023: 9) · 56.6% of the vote (2023: 59.8%) Majority 98%
ERC-PA - AM+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 17.7% of the vote (2023: 13.2%) Majority 0%
SOM-CUP-AMUNT±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 14.9% of the vote (2023: 13.7%) Majority 0%
PSC-CP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 8.0% of the vote (2023: 10.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 2% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Santa Maria de Palautordera

Santa Maria de Palautordera is a municipality in the province of Barcelona with 9,777 inhabitants, the 86th largest of its 311 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 CM came first with 59.8% of the vote and 9 seats, an absolute majority; SOM-CUP-AMUNT was second with 2. 54.4% of the 7,353 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps CM on 8 seats, a majority, which it holds in 98% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. CMJunts 59.8% → 56.6% 9 → 8 councillors
  2. ERC-PA - AMERC 13.2% → 17.7% 1 → 2 councillors
  3. SOM-CUP-AMUNTCUP 13.7% → 14.9% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. PSC-CPPSOE 10.4% → 8.0% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,001 valid votes including 112 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Santa Maria de Palautordera in size, in Barcelona

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