Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Masquefa: no list would have a majority, ERC - AM largest

Masquefa (Barcelona, 9,744 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

ERC - AM+1
4 councillors (2023: 3) · 30.7% of the vote (2023: 25.3%) Majority 1%
CM−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 27.5% of the vote (2023: 32.0%) Majority 0%
CP−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 23.7% of the vote (2023: 28.5%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 12.9% of the vote (2023: 7.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 99% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. ERC - AMERC 25.3% → 30.7% 3 → 4 councillors
  2. CMJunts 32.0% → 27.5% 5 → 4 councillors
  3. CPPSOE 28.5% → 23.7% 4 → 3 councillors
  4. VOXVox 7.8% → 12.9% 1 → 2 councillors
  5. PPPP 5.0% → 3.8% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,155 valid votes including 57 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Masquefa in size, in Barcelona

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